Overcome Club 50-50, utopian for the two-way version of Ohtani
The best thing for Dodgers and Ohtani fans is to take things easy, now that he will be a two -way player again
Shohei Ohtani monopolized reflectors and was absolute protagonist in 2024, from the stir that caused his millionaire, multiannial firm, with Los Angeles Dodgers to the numbers he left at the end of the calendar.
The Japanese comes from the best offensive season of his life in which he signed an exorbitant 9.2 of Warb. Concentrated in hitting only, as was the case of the 2024 campaign that the recovery of launch arm surgery prevented him from climbing the hill, Ohtani was an out of the major leagues. A few days after the starting of the 2025 season, in which his return to two -way player is estimated, the question is whether he can have a campaign of nourished offensive numbers again, one at the height of the club that inaugurated in the history of the game: at least 50 homers (54) and 50 stolen bases (59) or even superior.
Ohtani will arrive at 29 years in the 2025 season and on July 5 he will celebrate his 30th birthday, with eight calendars ahead compromised with Dodgers will enjoy stability, but look extremely difficult, not to say almost impossible, to repeat the feat of a 50-50 season or an offensive warb of more than 9.0.
The spectacular Japanese had to undergo his second Tommy John surgery and did not launch in all 2024, compensated that absence in the batting box, he wore his power, but he had to pass again through the operating room, this time, after the season, so that they would practice an arthroscopy in the left shoulder after a subluxation he suffered during the second game of the world of the world. October. Dodgers won the great leagues champion, but this surgical intervention is what will now prevent him from acting as a pitcher in at least the first two months of the calendar.
If the Japanese wants to be the protagonist of another offensive season such as 2025, he must maintain a rhythm of at least one homer and a stolen base each third game to place on the route of reached the figure of 50 windows and 50 scams. This is practically impossible if it is also considered that, at some point in May, it will rise to the hill again.
Ohtani has never acted as pitcher with Dodgers. The last time he launched was in 2023, still in the Roster of Los Angeles Angels, when he left a record of 10-5 and 3.14 of effectiveness. In 2022 he lived, so far, his best year from the mound, with a mark of 15-9 and an effectiveness of 2.33.
If we take as a reference that year of 2022, we found that the offensive had a brand of 34 homers, a figure well below the 46 that shot in 2021 and the 44 that connected in 2023. Its batting average in 2022 was the lowest of the last three years, with .273, and its robberies was the lowest of the last four years, with just 11 years He stole at least 20 pads.
That is, if Ohtani also launches, although I take advantage of the first months of the season focused on hitting, it will be practically impossible for a campaign to have such a robust with the wood as 2024 and it will be very interesting to see the way in which the manager Dave Roberts Dose the work of the Japanese in the lineup and in the rotation.
Based on advanced formulas, Baseball Reference projects a 40 home run season and 30 base robberies. That is, a decrease of 26 percent in the case of home runs and 49 percent, practically half, in the area of stolen pads.
From another perspective, it is read that this offensive decrease is the sporting price that the Dodgers will pay to have a pitcher who offers guarantees just above the average, in a rotation that in itself is a parade of high caliber stellar and that Roberts must consider: Tyler Glasnow, Tony Gonsolin, Yoshinobu Yamamot Snell, Clayton Kershaw, Dustin May, Landon Knack, Gavin Stone, Emmet Sheehan and River Ryan, simply impressive.
If Ohtani returns to the monicular action in May and remains healthy, it will be projected to perform, when more, 20 openings in regular season, because we must consider that Californians can easily have a rotation of up to six arms, unlike other clubs that pass hardships to complete a body of five elements. In that sense, the victories for Shohei could be projected between seven or nine.
The season is about to begin and Ohtani will want it to be a year when the balance between its offensive value and as a pitcher is balanced, to the satisfaction of some Dodgers turned into an impressive trabuco and that they hope to repeat the title long before the Japanese has a historical season in one of the individual items.
The expectation is maximum, but the best for Dodgers fans and particularly Shohei Ohtani is to take things easy. Overcoming the explosive offensive campaign 2024 of Shohei Ohtani is a kind of utopia, even for Shohei Ohtani, especially on his return to the category of two -way player.
