Butler a Warriors: exchange qualifications, winners and losers

The confrontation of Jimmy Butler with the Miami Heat ended when the striker six times ThereR joined the Golden State Warriors In an exchange of four teams on Wednesday night.
The exchange ends what had been a confrontation between Butler and the Heat and gives the Warriors another star to match Stephen Curry and Draymond Green hoping to return to the playoffs of the West Conference after failing to reach them in 2024.
Let us qualify all the aspects of this agreement and explore which are some of the first winners and losers of this agreement that could have mass implications for the entire League.
F PJ Tucker
What is at stake for Butler in the bay is simple: get the Warriors out of a fierce battle just to get to the play-in tournament and give Stephen Curry another playoff opportunity while you are still playing at a level of All-Star .
With Kevin Durant Apparently without interest in returning to Golden State, Butler was almost certainly the best player that Warriors could have acquired realistically. As I breakd down last month, Butler’s statistical fall this season (from 20.8 points per game to 17.0, its lowest average since 2013-14) seems to be attributed more to motivation than to the decrease of their skills at age 35.
At the same time, the adjustment is surely not as clean as Golden State would have preferred, or as clean as Durant’s return. Butler does not solve the greatest need for three -point shots Warriors in addition to Curry and the Buddy Hield reserve base. In fact, Golden State gave to the second best shooter of his titular quintet. Andrew Wiggins has averaged 2.2 triples per game this season with a percentage of 38%. Butler has not hit more than 3.0 per game since he was with the Minnesota Timberwolves and has dropped to only 0.5 this season.
With the deadline of the exchanges on Thursday afternoon, the Warriors can make another movement to add shooters. Golden State could offer a first -round conditional selection in 2027 or 2028, pending a resolution of the exchange in this agreement, as well as first -round exchanges plus contracts about to expire from Kevon Looney and Gary Payton II To find another improvement.
For now, Butler can raise a defense of the Warriors that has been good but not of championship quality. Golden State is ninth in defensive qualification after taking fourth place during the start of 12-3 of the Warriors. Part of that was due to the shots of three unsustainable points of the opponent: the teams attached 31%, the lowest in the league, against them during that period and are in 38% since then, the second highest, but Golden State has also forced ball losses at a rate below the average after starting the season in Top 10. The incorporation of Butler, who led the league with 2.1 robberies per game in 2020-21, should help the Warriors in that sense.
Butler will be Golden’s last attempt to find some offensive with curry in the bank. Throughout the season, its offensive qualification is located in the seventh percentile throughout the league without curry, according to Cleaning The Glass. Schroder was not the solution. The alignments that included him but not Curry were only marginally better, being located in the 12th percentile.
As with any star player, it is difficult for an offensive of the Warriors built around Curry to change his approach when he rests. However, part of the problem was simply not having enough ball handling and creating shots. Schroder offered those capabilities, but his pick-And-volus game never seemed comfortable in the offensive based on the movement of coach Steve Kerr, and Schroder had a serious decline as a shooter.
When everything else fails, Butler can simply lower your head and reach the free throw line. The 6.4 Free Shoe attempts this season are the lowest in Butler since 2018-19 .com.
If the Warriors can escape from the west group and reach the playoffs, either uploading among the top six or through the play-in tournament, “Playoff Jimmy” gives them a reasonable possibility of achieving one or two surprises.
Butler has been one of the players who has highlighted the most in the playoffs in relation to their performance in the regular season. They are also Curry and Draymond Green, and that trio will give Golden State a huge advantage of experience about any of the best preclassified of the West (Oklahoma City Thunder, Houston Rockets and Memphis Grizzlies).
At this point, he would compare the Warriors with the Lakers of the last two seasons. After accumulating points on the deadline of 2023, the Lakers followed a favorable path in the playoffs (including a confrontation with Golden State in the conference semifinals) until they reached the conference finals. A year later, a group of practically identical Lakers had a more difficult confrontation in the first round against defenders Denver Nuggets and lost 4-1 in the first round.
Nothing that the Warriors were going to acquire realistically on the deadline was going to make them serious contenders to the championship at this time. Curry has not played at that level for long periods lately, and Golden State did not have enough to get a star player at his best.
Having that in mind, I think the Warriors achieved their declared objective of doing nothing desperate. It is unlikely that Butler is worth the maximum two-year extension that he agreed as part of this exchange, and it is possible that this generates another round of drama in 2026-27 when Butler is looking for another contract. But Golden State managed to keep young prospects like Jonathan Kumina and Brandin Podziemski out of this transaction, which made him an agreement to win now and, at the same time, have an eye on the future.
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Shams: Warriors love the ‘playoffs jimmy’ to fight for the title
Shams Charania analyzes how the Warriors worked the acquisition of Jimmy Butler in a negotiation with the Heat.
Miami Heat: B+
Once the Heat was in a position in which it had to change Butler, this was a good return. Miami achieved its goal of avoiding recovering a bad salary and at the same time obtain what could be a first round of quality to replenish its coffers.
After a 2023-24 season downwards, Wiggins has once again been the Triple and Quality Defense star that was for the Warriors during his career for the 2022 championship. Because Butler has played only 25 games this season, I qualify Wiggins as a player with an average of victories above the replacement of 3.0 almost identical according to my Warp metric.
Wiggins has a reasonable contract that pays $ 26.3 million this season and $ 58 million combined during the next two, a little more than Butler will win only in 2025-26. The Wiggins agreement goes beyond 2026, when, as reported, the Heat hopes to create salary space to build around its duo of BAM Adebayo and Tyler Herrobut I suspect that Miami could move the last year of the Wiggins contract without too much difficulty if that plan is specified.
Anderson’s contract is less favorable, which explains the reports on Wednesday night that suggested that it would be redirected to Toronto Raptors to get the Heat out of the luxury tax. If no agreement is materialized, Miami could still use Anderson’s game capacity. Anderson’s length will work well on zone defenses that Erik Spoelstra likes to use with the second units.
The Heat redirected Schroder to Utah Jazz, bringing back to Pj Tucker. During his first stage in Miami, Tucker started 70 of 71 games and helped the Heat to reach the Eastern Conference. However, that was three seasons ago, and Tucker is 39 years old and they go nine months since his last action in the NBA after the clippers told him to stay at home waiting for an exchange. We will see what your role could be.
Waiting for a possible exchange of Anderson, for now the Heat has reduced its fiscal bill by $ 24 million. It also took a first round selection that will determine if Golden State is out of the top 10 this year. Maintaining the selection will require something of a collapse of the Warriors. Your selection will be part of a three -band draw for 16th place if the season ends today.
Most likely, Miami obtained a first round selection in the same range as the two recent first -round selections of the Heat: Kel’el Ware (15) and Jaime Jaquez Jr. (18). That is useful because the Miami team by 2025 goes to Oklahoma City if it is outside the lottery. In the improbable case that the Heat does not obtain the selection now, they negotiated more favorable terms from which Golden State usually offers, with protection of the Top 10 again in 2026 before being completely unprotected in 2027.
It is clear that this Miami team has less potential than it would have with a motivated butler. Taking into account Heat’s desire to protect his salary space by 2026 and Butler’s urgency to sign an extension, that was not in the plans. Getting a quality holder with a good contract and a first round selection that is worthwhile is a reasonable measure.
Winners and losers: how this change affects others
Winner: Brandon Ingram
With the signing of an extension by Butler, Ingram is now emerging as the 2025 free agency star. We will see if Ingram can achieve his own extension after being transferred to Toronto from New Orleans on Wednesday, but in any case, in any case, Having Butler outside the market as a potential alternative should benefit the former All-Star.
Losers: West play-in contestants
In the last week, we have seen Golden State sign Butler and San Antonio Spurs to De’aaron Fox, while the Sacramento Kings They managed to replace it with Zach Lavine. That means problems for the west teams that are on the tightrope and have not been able to make movements, especially the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Phoenix Suns, as well as perhaps that other team that made a great agreement. The Dallas Mavericks of the era after Luka Doncic They are currently in the 11st position with a percentage of victories of .5098, a minimum difference with the .5102 of the Kings, Suns and Warriors.
Loser: Conference balance
Of course, any of these teams would be comfortably among the seven best of the Eastern Conference, where the Bulls got rid of Lavine despite being in the position of playing in the play-in if the season ended today. Between Butler (6) and Lavine (2), a combined total of eight appearances in the game of the stars went to the west and only Wiggins went to the east in both exchanges.
Loser: Josh Richardson
Richardson was a spectator of this exchange that will go to Detroit so that everything works from a salary stop perspective. With the Pistons facing a template crisis (they will have to give up a player to assume Richardson and Waters, then create another place in the squad to perform an exchange informed on Tuesday with the Philadelphia 76ers by Kj Martin), Richardson looks like a strange man . Going from playing in Miami to the waivers list is a difficult result.
Winner: Butler himself!
No, Butler did not reach his favorite destination (the Suns). Even so, he took advantage of his interest, got the Warriors to accept an extension and give him an increase by 2025-26 and an extra year guaranteed to the maximum in 2026-27, when Butler will be 37 years old. I would call it a victory.
From the point of view of basketball, Butler should have fun in Golden State. Draymond Green seems to be a kind of twin soul for Butler, and I love the idea of how his chemistry will develop with Stephen Curry. As with Chris Paul last year, the Warriors are matching three of the smartest NBA players. I should be entertaining to see.