Barça has many chances to be champion: the precedents of a 0-1 in the ACB Final

He Barça yesterday he achieved a spectacular (and perhaps vital) victory in the Roig Arena against Valencia Basket (112-113) that a title of the Endesa League.

After an exciting extra time, Xavi Pascual’s men took home, the first point of the ACB League Final. Something that, if we review historical precedents, gives Barça many chances to become champion.

And, according to data provided by the ACB itself, until this season a total of 37 Final Playoff qualifiers had been played with the best of five games format, that is, the first to achieve three victories wins the title.

Well then, 12 of those seriesjust like what happened yesterday with Barça’s victory in Valencia, They began with a victory for the visiting team, which started with the home-field factor against (0-1).

Of those 12 occasions, in 10 of them, The team that made it 0-1 ended up taking the league title to their showcases. An overwhelming 83.3%!

Of course, to ‘stop’ a little the possible excess of euphoria of the Barça fans, the statistics are responsible for reminding us that in 9 of the previous 12 (75%) in which the ACB Final started with a visitors’ victory, The local team managed to equalize it (1-1) in the second game.

But Barça does not have it, far from it, everything is still done. And it is that only on three occasions (in 2002, 2008 and 2010, always with Baskonia as the protagonist), the team with the home-field factor against repeated victory in the second match and He returned home with a clear 0-2 score in the tie.

Thus, the second match of the Final, tomorrow at 8 p.m. on the same stage, will be a totally different story.

Regarding the final result of the series, three of the previous ones ended in 0-3 (25%)On four occasions the tie ended 1-3 (33.3%) and on three other occasions (25%) the battle went to the fifth game with a 2-3 victory for the team that started without a home court factor.

Besides, There are only two comebacks from the home team after an initial 0-1. The first time was in the legendary final of 95, when Barça came back in extremis against Unicaja (3-2) a series that the people of Malaga started by winning.

Already in more modern times, in the 2028/19 season, Baskonia made it 0-1 against Real Madrid before the white comeback, with three consecutive victories (3-1) to take the title.

The last precedent of a 0-1 in the final dates back to 4 years ago, when Real Madrid won the Final Playoff, precisely against Barça, by 1-3 after starting the series winning at the Palau Blaugrana by 75-88.

Furthermore, one last piece of information for Barça optimism: in the history of the League, Whenever Barça has gone 0-1 in the playoff final, winning the first game away from home, they have always ended up being champions.

It happened in 1997 (2-3 vs Real Madrid), 2009 (1-3 vs TAU Cerámica), 2014 (1-3 vs Real Madrid) and 2021 (0-2 vs Real Madrid).

Will the tradition be repeated this season?