Sunday, October 4, 2009
Obviously as this is written, the most important question Gator fans want answered before this weekend's game with LSU is whether or not quarterback Tim Tebow is going to play.
But aside from that, whether Tebow plays or not, there is another question to ponder; how good is this LSU team Florida will face in Baton Rouge in its next game?
Yes, LSU is undefeated. Yes the Tigers are fourth ranked. But a closer look at their numbers and you begin to wonder how those things are possible.
With all of the offensive talent LSU has in wide receiver Brandon LaFell, tailback Charles Scott and others, the LSU offense is statistically dead last in the SEC, averaging only 321 total yards. With Scott, Keiland Williams and Trinton Holliday running the ball, LSU averages only 135 yards a game on the ground, 10th in the league.
With Jordan Jefferson at quarterback, LSU's passing attack is averaging less than 200 yards a game. One of the problems here might be that LSU is last in the SEC in sacks allowed, tied with Vanderbilt at 13. In the red zone, LSU's offense is 10th in the league, with only eight touchdowns in 18 chances.
Defensively, the Tigers are decent, giving up only 14 points a game on average, but LSU is only sixth against the run in SEC statistics and is 10th in pass defense, giving up more than 200 yards a game through the air. With all of the talk of NFL talent on its defense, LSU is dead last in sacks with only five so far on the year.
Even in special teams play with Holliday, the world class sprinter returning kicks, the Tigers are last in the league in kickoff returns. In fact, there is not one statistical area in all of the SEC numbers where LSU is the leader. Still, one number that does stick out to me is their turnover margin; the Tigers are number two in the SEC at plus 7; by comparison Florida is plus two.
But you don't necessarily win...or lose...games with numbers alone. Take last week against Georgia. LSU's offense was inept most of the day, only getting six points despite dominating the first half, the play calling was questionable especially at the end of the first half when Les Miles and company inexplicably let time run out when they had good field position and time to work. And late in the game, with a lead in hand, LSU's defense gave up an easy drive to give Georgia back the lead; at least for a while.
No, LSU has not been impressive at all.
All they do is win.
With all of its talent, LSU certainly can beat Florida, with or without Tim Tebow. But you wonder if this is a team of destiny, or one where its luck is about to run out?
We'll see in a few days.